Today (Independence Day): Southwest breezes help bring humidity back to the region (dew points climb to 21°C). Maximum temperatures, usually around 32°C, seem closer to 38°C or even 41°C, given the humidity. Be sure to hydrate and take breaks if you spend a lot of time outdoors.
Clouds develop in the afternoon and a band of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move through the region between mid-afternoon and evening. The thunderstorms could produce dangerous lightning, heavy rain and strong wind gusts. Confidence: Medium-high
This evening: It looks like most of the showers and thunderstorms are expected to move east just around dusk, so fireworks after sunset should be possible in most areas. Winds are too light to move the smoke and it will be warm with temperatures in the 80s. Overnight lows will range from the 60s to the mid 70s. Confidence: Medium-high
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Tomorrow (Friday): Clouds are still present from yesterday’s thunderstorms, but the sun is still expected to break through and raise temperatures to mainly 90 to 95 degrees; high humidity will feel like a 10 degree increase. This should destabilize the atmosphere enough to trigger more showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the late afternoon. Winds are minimal, except in the event of a thunderstorm. Confidence: medium-high
Tomorrow evening: The threat of showers and thunderstorms continues into the evening, but is expected to ease after midnight. The night will be humid with minimum temperatures up to 21°C. Confidence: medium to high
The clouds are fading away SATURDAY The weather is expected to warm up in the morning, but it should recover in the afternoon as a cold front to the north moves gently along. This will trigger another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, which could persist until late at night. It remains uncomfortably warm and humid, with highs in the 80s and 90s and lows in the 60s and 70s. Confidence: Medium-high
Hopefully the cold front will have enough momentum to push some drier air into the region. Sunday. Highs are expected to continue to reach the 80s to 90s. While an isolated storm cannot be ruled out, most of the activity is expected to be concentrated to the east and south. Overnight lows are expected to slide into the mid 60s to 70s. Confidence: Medium
Monday The weather is expected to remain moderately humid with highs in the 80s to 90s under mostly sunny skies for a tolerable start to the week. Confidence: Medium