The inauguration of Kamala Harris as US President is expected to bring continuity in key areas of cooperation and a significant change in the strategic environment for sustainable development and human rights in the US-Indonesia (USA-RI) relationship. The Prabowo administration should anticipate these changes and strategically adjust its policies to ensure stronger bilateral ties and mutual benefits.
The U.S.-Indonesia relationship has historically been multifaceted, encompassing economic cooperation, defense and security cooperation, environmental initiatives, and the promotion of human rights and democratic governance. As the Biden administration’s term draws to a close, it will be important to assess the trajectory of U.S.-Indonesia relations if Kamala Harris becomes president and how President Prabowo should navigate these changes.
This analysis takes a detailed look at the current state of U.S.-Liechtenstein relations, explores potential changes under a Kamala Harris administration, and offers strategic recommendations for Prabowo’s administration to foster a resilient and adaptable bilateral partnership.
The Biden administration is focused on strengthening economic ties with Indonesia. The United States is one of Indonesia’s largest trading partners and trade agreements have played a vital role, with significant investments in key sectors such as technology, energy and manufacturing, stimulating economic growth and job creation in both countries.
Additionally, the Biden Administration has promoted sustainable development by supporting initiatives aligned with Indonesia’s economic and environmental goals. U.S.-Indonesia defense and security cooperation has remained robust under Biden’s leadership. Joint military exercises and training programs have strengthened the capabilities of the Indonesian military and promoted regional stability.
Counterterrorism activities are a key component, with the two countries working together to combat extremist threats in Southeast Asia. The partnership has strengthened Indonesia’s role as a key player in the regional security architecture. Climate change and environmental policy are also keystones of the Biden Administration’s approach to Indonesia. A joint initiative focused on renewable energy sustainability and conservation has been launched to address the urgent issue of climate change. Support for deforestation-free procurement is particularly important, supporting Indonesia’s efforts to protect its rich biodiversity while promoting sustainable agricultural and forestry practices.
Promoting human rights and democracy remains a top priority for the Biden Administration. The United States has consistently defended human rights and supported Indonesia’s democratic institutions and civil society. This approach has helped Indonesia strengthen democratic processes that are essential to its long-term development and promote social stability.
With Kamala Harris potentially assuming the presidency, the future trajectory of U.S.-Indonesia relations is expected to evolve in line with the priorities and vision of the Harris administration. Economic cooperation is expected to continue, but with an emphasis on sustainable development and green investments. The Harris administration is likely to prioritize new trade agreements that emphasize environmental sustainability, social responsibility, and inclusive economic growth. This shift is in line with the global trend in favor of a green economy, providing Indonesia with an opportunity to attract investments in renewable energy-friendly technologies and sustainable infrastructure.
Defense and security cooperation under the Harris administration is expected to continue to focus on regional stability and maritime security. The South China Sea remains a contested area, and Indonesia’s strategic location makes it a key partner in maintaining freedom of navigation and regional peace. The Harris administration may seek to expand cooperation with the Indonesian military, strengthen its naval capabilities, and intensify efforts to address security challenges in the Indo-Pacific region.
An increased emphasis on climate change and environmental policies is expected under the Harris administration. The Harris administration is likely to strengthen its climate action efforts, supporting efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change and promote environmental resilience. New environmental programs centered on clean energy projects, sustainable agriculture, and conservation are expected to be introduced. Indonesia, with its abundant natural resources and unique biodiversity, would greatly benefit from such cooperation, promoting sustainable environmental development and management.
Human rights and democracy promotion are likely to remain a priority, if not strengthened, under a Harris administration. A Harris administration may take a more proactive stance on human rights issues and advocate for the protection of civil liberties and social justice. Support for civil society organizations and democratic processes in Indonesia is expected to remain robust, helping to strengthen democratic outcomes and promote political stability.
Prabowo’s administration will need to strategically anticipate and adapt to possible changes in U.S.-Indonesia relations during President Kamala Harris’ term. From an economic perspective, Indonesia should focus on diversifying its trade partners and attracting sustainable investments. By leveraging its abundant natural resources and favorable geography, Indonesia can position itself as a hub for green technology and renewable energy projects. Strengthening economic resilience through diversification will also help mitigate associated risks associated with global volatility.
On the defense and security front, Prabowo’s government should prioritize strengthening its military and promoting regional cooperation. Indonesia can strengthen its role in the regional security architecture by strengthening its maritime capabilities and participating in joint exercises. Moreover, continued cooperation on counterterrorism will be crucial to address evolving security threats and maintain stability.
Environment and climate policies, as predicted by Harris, should be Indonesia’s top priority, aligned with global climate goals and focused on sustainability. Expanding sustainable agricultural and forestry practices, promoting renewable energy, and participating in international environmental initiatives will boost Indonesia’s environmental credentials. Demonstrating leadership in climate action will help Indonesia attract international assistance and investment to advance sustainable development goals.
Human rights and governance should remain at the heart of Indonesia’s domestic and international policies. Promoting human rights, social justice and democratic values will strengthen Indonesia’s democratic institutions and improve its international reputation. Involving civil society, protecting minority rights and ensuring transparency and accountability in governance will foster social cohesion and political stability.
Recommendations
To effectively navigate the expected changes under President Kamala Harris, the Prabowo administration should establish an expert task force composed of experts in international relations, economics, defense policy, environmental issues, and human rights. This task force should monitor and analyze evolving trends in U.S.-Indonesia relations and provide strategic insights and actionable recommendations. This will help Indonesia remain agile and responsive to new opportunities and challenges. Additionally, strengthening diplomatic channels with the U.S. and holding regular high-level dialogues will be crucial to maintaining a positive and cooperative bilateral relationship.
In comparison, the Biden Administration has implemented policies that build a solid foundation for the United States-Republic of Indonesia (USA-RI) relationship. These policies prioritize areas such as economic cooperation, defense and security, climate action, and human rights. A Kamala Harris presidency is expected to further strengthen these foundations with an emphasis on sustainable development, investment in environmentally friendly initiatives, and active defense of human rights. Continuing defense and security cooperation will contribute to continued regional stability, while implementing stronger climate and environmental initiatives will address urgent global challenges.
In conclusion, with Kamala Harris as president, U.S.-Indonesia relations have great potential for enhanced cooperation in key areas going forward. Prabowo’s administration must anticipate these expected changes and strategically adjust its policies to ensure Indonesia remains an essential partner for the U.S. By prioritizing sustainable development, regional security, climate action, and human rights, Indonesia can navigate the fluid geopolitical landscape and foster a resilient, mutually beneficial partnership with the U.S.
The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own.
References
- “The Biden Administration and Indonesia: Economic and Security Relations,” Council on Foreign Relations, 2022.
- “Climate Change and Environmental Policy in U.S.-Indonesia Relations,” World Resources Institute, 2023.
- “U.S.-Indonesia Defense Cooperation,” RAND Corporation, 2021.
- “Promoting Human Rights and Democracy in U.S. Foreign Policy,” Freedom House, 2022.
- “Kamala Harris’ Vision for U.S. Foreign Policy,” Brookings Institution, 2024.
